Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.644601 4.381819 5.205608 6.190783 7.333132 8.612131 10.148431
2025-03-09 2.562064 3.489348 4.636626 6.145679 8.061759 10.395593 13.433132
2025-03-16 1.917791 2.910230 4.249513 6.155838 8.760435 12.150531 16.844148
2025-03-23 1.480149 2.475253 3.925303 6.134961 9.346827 13.763346 20.193274
2025-03-30 1.112315 2.042219 3.499487 5.865142 9.502922 14.756712 22.751685
2025-04-06 0.898036 1.793570 3.290668 5.858748 10.002928 16.241055 26.090274
2025-04-13 0.727936 1.576607 3.085244 5.809913 10.406198 17.589718 29.312894
2025-04-20 0.648999 1.506147 3.110696 6.134973 11.425052 19.947729 34.229360
2025-04-27 0.567969 1.411787 3.073733 6.338574 12.251301 22.055302 38.898121
2025-05-04 0.511450 1.354615 3.094256 6.641818 13.268843 24.540507 44.332313
2025-05-11 0.430995 1.224990 2.949029 6.610249 13.680984 26.037374 48.240070
2025-05-18 0.346733 1.064184 2.709950 6.358469 13.654690 26.768506 50.898750
2025-05-25 0.273084 0.910833 2.462122 6.060374 13.521692 27.325845 53.350313
2025-06-01 0.231334 0.830250 2.363265 6.059757 13.963866 28.946713 57.770488
2025-06-08 0.197745 0.762746 2.282349 6.085364 14.457789 30.695367 62.529592
2025-06-15 0.167614 0.696001 2.189983 6.070207 14.862077 32.299334 67.121188
2025-06-22 0.132658 0.600796 2.003488 5.804740 14.703184 32.801565 69.694694
2025-06-29 0.112937 0.550950 1.929263 5.799069 15.104934 34.425660 74.474709
2025-07-06 0.095047 0.500872 1.843571 5.750900 15.403731 35.859651 78.969463
2025-07-13 0.089500 0.498036 1.897804 6.073202 16.580462 39.159740 87.281079
2025-07-20 0.081389 0.481468 1.906592 6.275066 17.492558 41.966901 94.765437
2025-07-27 0.076180 0.475921 1.949544 6.575702 18.665367 45.391365 103.655020
2025-08-03 0.065006 0.437751 1.877417 6.544409 19.030418 47.118689 109.207874